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Three speakers with an eye on the future take out their crystal balls and assess where the world will be by the middle of the 21st century.

Dan Smith is secretary-general of International Alert and former director of the International Peace Research Institute. He is author of The State of the World Atlas and The Atlas of War and Peace. David Goodhart is director of the think tank DEMOS, and the editor-at-large of Prospect magazine, which he founded in 1995. He was previously senior correspondent for the Financial Times and recently published The British Dream: Success and Failure in Immigration Since the War. Ian Goldin is director of the University of Oxford’s Oxford Martin School. Between 2001 and 2006 he worked at the World Bank, first as director of policy and then as vice-president. He has published 15 books including the recent Divided Nations: Why Global Governance is Failing.