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Leading expert on China Jonathan Fenby argues that it is not inevitable that China will go on to dominate the 21st century. Fenby says China faces its own major challenges that stand in the way of its domination. It faces political, social, economic and international tests that will put its system under strain. Fenby gives his own view of where China is heading.

Fenby is a former editor of the Observer and of the South China Morning Post. He has written several popular books about China including Tiger Head, Snake Tails; and The Penguin History of Modern China.